200 packs.

30 hits.

Youtuber Leonhart opened up 200 Pokemon Trading Card Game Sun & Moon booster packs from Dollar Tree (an entire box), over the course of a 10 day special. Each of those packs includes 3 cards with no guarantees.

I figured it would be informative to cover the Rare Reverse Holo or better cards (a.k.a. a "hit") that he pulled. Please note that other boxes might have a worse pull rate.


Results

Day 1 (packs 1-20):

  • Reverse Holo 63 Toxapex.

  • Reverse Holo 75 Palossand.

  • Rare Holo 96 Dragonite.


Day 2 (packs 21-40):

  • Ultra Rare 66 Lunala GX.


Day 3 (packs 41-60):

  • Rare Reverse Holo 87 Alolan Dugtrio.

  • Ultra Rare 42 Primarina GX.


Day 4 (packs 61-80):

  • Rare Reverse Holo 113 Oranguru.

  • Ultra Rare 15 Lurantis GX.

Day 5 (packs 81-100):

  • Rare Reverse Holo 56 Crobat.

  • Rare Holo 99 Kangaskhan.

Day 6 (packs 101-120):

  • Rare Reverse Holo 99 Kangaskhan.

  • Rare Holo 32 Poliwrath.

  • Ultra Rare 80 Umbreon GX.

  • Ultra Rare 80 Umbreon GX.

  • Ultra Rare 100 Tauros GX.


Day 7 (packs 121-140):

  • Rare Reverse Holo 17 Shinnotic.

  • Rare Reverse Holo 96 Dragonite.

  • Rare Holo 22 Arcanine.

  • Ultra Rare 66 Lunala GX.

Day 8 (packs 141-160):

  • Rare Reverse Holo 29 Golduck.

  • Rare Reverse Holo 32 Poliwrath.

  • Rare Reverse Holo 34 Cloyster.

  • Hyper Rare 145 Gumshoos GX.

Day 9 (packs 161-180):

  • Rare Reverse Holo 43 Crabominable.

  • Rare Reverse Holo 50 Lanturn.

  • Ultra Rare 42 Primarina GX.

  • Ultra Rare 66 Lunala GX.

  • Hyper Rare Lurantis GX.


Day 10 (packs 181-200):

  • Rare Reverse Holo 113 Oranguru.

  • Rare Holo 99 Kangaskhan.


Pull Rates

Rarity
Number Pulled
Approximate Odds
Per Pack
Approximate Odds
Per Card
Rare Reverse Holo 14 1:14 1:43
Rare Holo 5 1:40 1:120
Ultra Rare 9 1:22 1:67
Hyper Rare 2 1:100 1:300
Secret Rare 0 N/A N/A

Overall: Leonhart pulled a hit in approximately 1:7 packs, or 1:20 cards. That's quite surprising!

What's even more surprising is he pulled an Ultra Rare card in 1:67 cards, which is better than most hobby boxes, that typically includes an Ultra Rare card in 1:90 cards.

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