200 packs.
30 hits.
Youtuber Leonhart opened up 200 Pokemon Trading Card Game Sun & Moon booster packs from Dollar Tree (an entire box), over the course of a 10 day special. Each of those packs includes 3 cards with no guarantees.
I figured it would be informative to cover the Rare Reverse Holo or better cards (a.k.a. a "hit") that he pulled. Please note that other boxes might have a worse pull rate.
Results
Day 1 (packs 1-20):
-
Reverse Holo 63 Toxapex.
-
Reverse Holo 75 Palossand.
-
Rare Holo 96 Dragonite.
Day 2 (packs 21-40):
- Ultra Rare 66 Lunala GX.
Day 3 (packs 41-60):
-
Rare Reverse Holo 87 Alolan Dugtrio.
-
Ultra Rare 42 Primarina GX.
Day 4 (packs 61-80):
-
Rare Reverse Holo 113 Oranguru.
-
Ultra Rare 15 Lurantis GX.
Day 5 (packs 81-100):
-
Rare Reverse Holo 56 Crobat.
-
Rare Holo 99 Kangaskhan.
Day 6 (packs 101-120):
-
Rare Reverse Holo 99 Kangaskhan.
-
Rare Holo 32 Poliwrath.
-
Ultra Rare 80 Umbreon GX.
-
Ultra Rare 80 Umbreon GX.
-
Ultra Rare 100 Tauros GX.
Day 7 (packs 121-140):
-
Rare Reverse Holo 17 Shinnotic.
-
Rare Reverse Holo 96 Dragonite.
-
Rare Holo 22 Arcanine.
-
Ultra Rare 66 Lunala GX.
Day 8 (packs 141-160):
-
Rare Reverse Holo 29 Golduck.
-
Rare Reverse Holo 32 Poliwrath.
-
Rare Reverse Holo 34 Cloyster.
-
Hyper Rare 145 Gumshoos GX.
Day 9 (packs 161-180):
-
Rare Reverse Holo 43 Crabominable.
-
Rare Reverse Holo 50 Lanturn.
-
Ultra Rare 42 Primarina GX.
-
Ultra Rare 66 Lunala GX.
-
Hyper Rare Lurantis GX.
Day 10 (packs 181-200):
-
Rare Reverse Holo 113 Oranguru.
-
Rare Holo 99 Kangaskhan.
Pull Rates
Rarity
|
Number Pulled |
Approximate Odds
Per Pack
|
Approximate Odds
Per Card
|
Rare Reverse Holo | 14 | 1:14 | 1:43 |
Rare Holo | 5 | 1:40 | 1:120 |
Ultra Rare | 9 | 1:22 | 1:67 |
Hyper Rare | 2 | 1:100 | 1:300 |
Secret Rare | 0 | N/A | N/A |
Overall: Leonhart pulled a hit in approximately 1:7 packs, or 1:20 cards. That's quite surprising!
What's even more surprising is he pulled an Ultra Rare card in 1:67 cards, which is better than most hobby boxes, that typically includes an Ultra Rare card in 1:90 cards.