Peter Quill: I look around and you know what I see? Losers! But [Marvel's] giving us a chance.

Drax the Destroyer: To do what?

Peter Quill: [Make a killing at the box office.]

Marvel's big experiment, Guardians of the Galaxy, is making its way to theaters on August 1, 2014. Some analysts have come to a conclusion that movie will turn a profit, while some critics have predicted that movie bomb at the box office. Who will end up right? Let's take a look at the facts before I answer that question:

  • Marvel doesn't have a good track record with bringing their lesser known franchises to the big screen; for example, their "Elektra" and "Punisher" franchises bombed at the box office.

  • During the first half of 2014, Marvel's established movie franchises grossed between $90 to $95 million in its first weekend at the domestic box office.

  • A 3D trailer for Guardians of the Galaxy was shown before Transformers: Age of Extinction, which is expected to be the most popular movie of 2014.

  • 99 percent of Rotten Tomatoes voters wants to see Guardians of the Galaxy.[1]

Using the facts above, I've come to a conclusion that Guardians of the Galaxy will earn $39 million in its first weekend at the domestic box office, which is approximately three times better than Marvel's failed attempts, and a little less than 50 percent worst than Marvel's recent successful movies.

Be sure to post your box office predictions (domestic, foreign, worldwide, lifetime, etc.) for Guardians of the Galaxy in the comments below. Here's a trailer for that movie if you didn't see it:

Update (August 4, 2014): Amazing. Guardians of the Galaxy has earned $94.3 million in its first weekend at the box office; in other words, my prediction was off by 58.64 percent...

Sources:

  1. RottenTomatoes.com | Guardians of the Galaxy (2014) | Retrieved July 2, 2014 at 5:39 PST.

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