Will my cheap strategy backfire?

I purchased one hobby hot pack of 2014 Bowman Chrome Football for $14.87 which is guaranteed to contain an autographed card. That's a fantastic deal considering a $50 hobby box includes a single autographed card.

2014-bowman-chrome-football-hobby-pack


Base Cards

  • 62 - Ryan Mathews

2014-bowman-chrome-football-62-ryan-mathews

Mathews topped the NFL with six 100-yard performances in the 2013 season.

  • 77 - T.Y. Hilton

2014-bowman-chrome-football-77-t-y-hilton

Hilton logged five 100-yard receiving games in the 2013 season.


Insert Cards

  • Refractor 192 - Jeremy Hill [RC] (odds 1:4)

2014-bowman-chrome-football-refractor-192-jeremy-hill

Despite starting only 8 games in his rookie 2014 season, Hill rushed 1,124 yards for 9 touchdowns.

  • RCRA-LTA - Lorenzo Taliaferro [RC] (odds 1:24)

2014-bowman-chrome-football-rcra-lta-lorenzo-taliaferro

I've seen that card sell for a whopping... $0.99 on eBay. I pity anyone who pulled that worthless card from a hobby box.


My plan to score a solid hit for only $14.87 backfired...